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FOREWORD
Richard Perle
PREFACE
INTRODUCTION: ORGANIZATION OF THE WORK
1.
THE RUSH TO NUCLEAR ZERO: COURTING CATASTROPHE
2.
THE NUCLEAR AGE: FROM “TRINITY” TO TEHRAN
The First Bomb: Earliest Research through the Trinity Test
Nuclear History, 1945–Present
3.
RUSSIA: LINKING ARMS CONTROL TO AN ADVERSARY’S CONDUCT
Superpowers and “Super” Bomb: The Arms Race Begins
Kennedy, Khrushchev, and Berlin: Nuclear Blackmail Succeeds
Cold War, Cool Heads, a “Mad” Freeze
4.
AMERICA: THE LIMITS OF WHAT ARMS PACTS CAN ACCOMPLISH
“Big Ships Cause Big Wars”: Arms Control before World War II
How Much Is Enough?: Early Cold War Arms Talks
A Search for Common Interests: Late Cold War Arms Talks
Scaling Back Massive Arsenals: Arms Talks after the Cold War
The Political and Principled Limits of Arms Control
5.
IRAN AND THE MIDEAST: SLIDING TOWARDS NUCLEAR WAR
Iran’s Nuclear Quest
Historical Parallels
The Twenty-first Century Mideast: Cuban Crisis Revisited?
The Resurgence of Militant Islam
6.
NORTH KOREA: NUCLEAR HOSTAGE TAKING
In the Shadow of Stalin’s Nuclear-Armed Monster
Yesterday’s Korea: The Hermit Gets a Bomb
Today’s Korea: The Perils of Regime Change
Tomorrow’s Korea: The Double-Edged Sword of Reunification
7.
CHINA: IMPERIAL ASPIRATION AMIDST A SHIFTING NUCLEAR BALANCE
China’s Half Millennium of Self-Isolation
China’s Resurgence
Avoiding a Collision in the Pacific
Interlude: A Thin Line between Peaceful and Military Nuclear Capability
8.
PAKISTAN AND INDIA: WHO GUARDS THE GUARDIANS?
“The Buddha Smiles”
The Islamic Bomb
Danger in Safety, Safety in Danger
9.
IRAQ: THE INFORMATION LIMITS OF INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Surprise
Iraq I, Iraq II
A Look at Nuclear Surprise
10:
ALLIES: WHY FRIENDS PROLIFERATE
World War II: Our Russian Wartime Ally of Convenience
United Kingdom
France
Britain, France, and Israel in Suez
The Fallout from Suez
11.
DISARMAMENT I: SUPERPOWER ARMAMENT, POPULAR DISARMAMENT
The Bombings
The Disarmers
The Bomb to End All Bombs
The Bomb Goes Underground
12.
DISARMAMENT II: SOME DISARM, OTHERS MUST BE DISARMED
Latin America
Africa: Libya and South Africa
Former Russian Republics: Ukraine, Belarus, Kazakhstan
Pseudo-Disarmers: North Korea and Iran
Preventing Nuclear Armament
If Israel Strikes Iran
13.
INVITATION TO STRIKE: THE SMALL POWER’S NUCLEAR EQUALIZER
Historical and Scientific Background
Infrastructure Vulnerabilities
Reducing EMP Risk
14.
THE PERILOUS PRESENT: BEYOND MYTHIC PASTS AND FANTASY FUTURES
History’s Twelve Vital Nuclear-Age Lessons
APPENDIX 1:
FICTION’S WAR AGAINST NUCLEAR REALITIES
APPENDIX 2:
IMPROVING CONTROL OVER NUCLEAR WEAPONS
APPENDIX 3:
INTELLIGENCE BIASES AND THE NUCLEAR BALANCE
APPENDIX 4:
MISSILE DEFENSE VERSUS MULTIPLE WARHEADS
BIBLIOGRAPHY
About the Author
Praise for Sleepwalking with the Bomb
Copyright Notice